 price could be set for a drop with its price action approaching a key level that could define its next trajectory.){kind=link}
Key Insights :
- XLM price needed to hold $0.27 to avoid a 14% correction to $0.23.
- The Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day is positive after staying neutral for sometime.
- The largest share of RWA’s network is ETH accounts for 58.81% of the total market with ZK, XLM, APT, SOL in 2nd to 5th place.
Stellar Lumens (XLM) price could be set for a drop with its price action approaching a key level that could define its next trajectory where a break below would mean continued decline while a rebound could negate the bearish momentum.
XLM Price Action Analysis
On the day, XLM price closed at $0.28251 close to the bottom part of its rising parallel channel. The altcoin seemed to touch $0.27 which was equivalent to the bottom line of the trend channel and previous significant support level.
If XLM lost this support, we might see a decrease of 14% toward $0.23 which was the same price as the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line at $0.24392.
After that, the next potential downsite was $0.22573, due to the key support level at 0.236.
On the other hand, a rise from $0.27 could form bullish structure, where the price will initially find resistance at $0.30 which is close to the 0.786 retracement value at $0.29974.
If the breakout occurs, the path toward the upper high at $0.33471 may be cleared. As long as prices stay in the overall ascending channel, the structure is positive; however, rejecting $0.31 may mean the buyers are exhausted.
The price direction might be determined by whether or not the price remained over $0.27 after that point. The movement in the market would likely be determined by the way the key price is received.
XLM’s Cumulative Volume Delta
From May 2025, Stellar (XLM) started seeing an increase in the number of cumulative spot taker buys.
From June to September last year, the CVD experienced limited but positive buy pressure, after that, followed mostly neutral action up to October.
Between February and November 2025, the color of red CVD turned very dark, which suggests that the sellers ruled the market.
Between March and April 2025, the Currency Volatility Divergence was zero.
Green superiority in May indicated more buyers, so if preserved, we can see the prices rising. The increase could raise XLM and move it closer to higher Fibonacci targets.
Buyers could take control again as the trend progresses, however, a sharp drop could take place if volume does not improve the situation.
Typically, CVD trends have followed price trends, so this strong trend now may lead to further gains.
RWA League on XLM
Ethereum’s market cap for real-world assets is the largest at $7.02B, giving it 58.81% of the overall share, an increase of 17.15% in the last month.
ZKSync Era reports $2.19B in value, accounting for 18.36%, after dropping by -0.63%. With $464.7M and a share of 3.90%, XLM is in third place but dropped by 2.37% this month.
Aptos is at the fourth position after hitting $344M with a gain in value by 3.68%. While Solana and Polygon are nearing $333M with Solana gaining by 5.49% and Polygon by 19.86%.
Though XLM is valued highly in the RWA network for overall utility, the latest dip in price should be carefully monitored.
Being in the group of top three cryptocurrencies and using RWA could lead to an increased demand for Stellar’s token over time.
There might come a time when it suffers from losing out to other, growing networks. Stellar’s future moves upward will be guided by the market’s neutrality and activity of related protocols.